Thursday, October 8, 2009

Jim Chanos at the SEC ?

Regular readers know all too well my thoughts on the SEC so with that in mind I thought you might enjoy the following piece, re-printed below, which comes to you courtesy of Jeff Matthews investor and author of the blog Jeff Matthews Is Not Making This Up.

Thursday October 1, 2009
Jim Chanos For SEC Chairman

The mission of the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission is to protect investors, maintain fair, orderly, and efficient markets, and facilitate capital formation.
—The Securities and Exchange Commission


That’s not just us here at NotMakingThisUp talking, that’s what the SEC itself says right on its very own website.

And as part of that mission, the agency just wrapped up a two-day forum on “short-selling and securities lending.”

Never mind that short-sellers had nothing to do with—absolutely nothing—the sub-prime lending crisis or the Bernie Madoff fraud.

And forget entirely that it was a short-seller—not a public bureaucrat or a college professor—who first warned, well ahead of its collapse, of the dangers lurking in the Lehman Brothers balance sheet.

Public respect-wise, short-selling simply seems to be a no-win business model.

In bull markets, naturally, nobody wants to hear the bad news that is the short-sellers’ stock in trade. After all, what parent wants to be told they have an ugly baby…and what investor, or CEO, or working stiff, wants to be told they own, or run, or work for an over-rated company?

In bear markets, on the other hand, investors, CEOs and working stiffs alike look for scapegoats on which to blame their problems…and who better to blame than the short-sellers who profit from such calamity?

Indeed, having practiced short-selling as a hedging tool over nearly 30 years of investing, we were not a bit surprised by the efforts of some politicians and at least a few corporate CEOs to blame the entire financial crisis on the short-sellers who actually saw the thing coming, warned about what could happen, and made money as a result.

In those 30 years, every corporate big-wig we’ve ever observed who sat at the helm of a controversial, and sometimes fraudulent, business—convicted felons Jeff Skilling, Richard Scrushy and Dennis Kozlowsky among them—have at one time or another fingered “the shorts” for their problems. They do it the way bloated, fading home-run hitters blame positive steroid tests on errant trainers and bad doctors...anything but their own malfeasance.

Now, one method for more effectively regulating markets was proferred in a recent New York Times piece by the formidable Gretchen Morgenson, “But Who Is Watching Regulators?”

Instead of creating more regulations to try to prevent this kind of mess from recurring, why not figure out how to hold regulators accountable when they perform as poorly as they did in recent years?

Edward J. Kane, a professor of finance at Boston College and an authority on the ethical and operational aspects of regulatory failure, has some ideas about how to do this and right our damaged system in the process. He outlined them in a recent paper titled “Unmet Duties in Managing Financial Safety Nets.”...


Now, we here at NotMakingThisUp have enormous respect for Morgenson: she’s a tough, no-holds-barred financial reporter who takes nothing at face value.

But Kane’s ideas seem to have a little less oomph than what the financial markets need. First among these ideas, for example, is an “oath of office”:

Mr. Kane suggests that financial supervisors take an oath of office in which they agree to perform four duties. First is the duty of vision, under which they would promise to adapt their surveillance practices to respond to the creative ways financial institutions hide their dubious practices.

Regulators must also promise to take prompt corrective action, and to perform their work efficiently. Finally, there is what Mr. Kane calls the duty of “conscientious representation,” whereby regulators swear to put the interests of the community ahead of their own.

—But Who Is Watching Regulators? by Gretchen Morgenson, The New York Times, September 12, 2009

All of which seems, to real-world practitioners in this business, crushingly naïve.

After all, every elected representative in Congress swears an oath of office to defend the Constitution of the United States—yet the head of the House Ways and Means tax-writing committee of this country is, by public accounts, a tax cheat. And the current Treasury Secretary of the United States—likewise an oath-taker upon assuming office—was, until nominated for the post and forced to pay up, likewise not exactly obeying the letter of the laws he was swearing to defend.

Now, this isn’t about Republicans versus Democrats—Republicans have plenty of their own on the honor role of oath-taking scoundrels. It’s simply about how to regulate markets in order to “protect investors.”

And it seems to us that the best way to protect investors is not to require particularly severe oath-taking on the part of regulators: instead, it is to appoint to the head of the SEC somebody who knows where to look to find the problems before they can hurt the investors the SEC is charged to protect.

Thus it is that—no offense to Mary Schapiro, who has provided an admirable spark of life into what had been rendered comatose by the previous regime—we here at NotMakingThisUp nominate Jim Chanos as next head of the SEC.

A professional short-seller, Chanos first made his bones nearly 30 years ago sniffing out fraud at Baldwin-United when that highflyer was beloved by Wall Street’s Finest. Jim did this by doing what Wall Street’s Finest did not: digging through mundane state insurance filings and piecing together a far less pretty picture of the business than Baldwin’s charismatic CEO was painting to Wall Street’s Finest and the investors who ultimately lost their shirts on the stock.

More recently, Chanos was the first to publically call out the accounting scam underlying Enron’s so-called “earnings” (“a hedge fund in drag,” I believe he called it), and he performed the same service in the case of Tyco, for which he received nothing but grief from Wall Street’s Finest—until that story likewise fell apart.

So, who better than Jim Chanos to spot—early, when it matters—the next Madoff, or Scrushy, or Skilling, or Kozlowsky?

It certainly isn’t going to be a finance professor from BC, or even a securities lawyer from GW, no matter how many oaths they take.

Of course, our proposal is, in itself, as crushingly naïve as that of Mr. Kane’s.

The very fact that the SEC just devoted a day and a half to the issue of short-sellers—the one investor class that publicly warned against the lending practices that nearly brought down the entire financial system—tells you everything you need to know about where short-sellers stand in the eyes of regulators.

And Jim Chanos himself will probably choke on his coffee, if and when he reads this. (Full disclosure: Jim is a professional acquaintance, and our paths cross once a year or so—usually in the breakout session of some extremely controversial company, where his presence tends to cause the CEO’s eyes to twitch.)

Still, in our opinion, competence—not oaths—is what makes a great anything, whether it’s a member of Congress or a general or a CEO or a school teacher.

And in the world of “protecting investors,” we can’t think of anyone more competent to spot a problem than one of the best short-sellers who ever practiced the craft.

Now, for the record, we here at NotMakingThisUp have no problem with ideas on the table for tightening up the stock-lending process that has resulted in near hysteria about “naked shorting” among Congresspeople who wouldn’t know a short sale from a tomato.

And we lived with the “up-tick” rule for 25 years or so before the wizards of the Bush Administration decided to revoke that rule at the absolute top of the market—so restoring the up-tick rule would seem to us to be no skin off anybody’s nose.

But the way you “protect investors” is not to shackle short-sellers. These are, after all, professionals who’ve made it part of their business model to sniff out the kind of fraud the SEC wishes to abolish from the system.

It’s hard to imagine that if Bernie Madoff had been running a public company, his scam would have gone on for two and a half years—let alone 25 years—with shorts on the prowl.

Or a Jim Chanos at the helm of the SEC.

Jeff Matthews
I Am Not Making This Up




Absolutely fantastic piece Jeff ! Thanks.


Housekeeping notes;

I was stopped out of my SPY short position earlier at $107.06 for a loss of just over a point on 1 unit short.

I want to raise my stop on TLT to $96.74

Good speculating and please remember to never forget that "an investor is a speculator who made a mistake and will not admit it".


Open Positions:
Long 1 unit Ultrashort Russell 2K ticker TWM @ $27.50 stop @ $26.40
Long 1 unit Ultrashort Financials ticker SKF @ $24.55 stop @ $23.49
Long 1 unit i-shares Barclay 20yr ticker TLT @ $97.80 stop @ $96.74
Long 1 unit US$ Index bullish ticker UUP @ $22.75 stop @ $22.44
Short 1 unit i-shares Russell 2K ticker IWM @ $61.70 stop @ $63.80
Short 1 unit Vornado ticker VNO @ $68.30 stop @ $70.71
Short 1 unit Bed Bath ticker BBBY @ $37.75 stop @ $38.41

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